Scott R. Sullivan

July 8th, 2008 by Scott

First the news:

NASA scientist James Hansen’s famous claims about 1998 being the warmest year on record in the U.S. was the result of a serious math error, according to H. Sterling Burnett, a senior fellow at the National Center for Policy Analysis (NCPA). NASA has now corrected the error, anointing 1934 as the warmest year and 1921 as the third warmest year, not 2006 as previously claimed.

NASA’s ground based temperature records for the past 120 years, which have been the basis for most of the claims that global warming is happening at an unprecedented rate, almost entirely due to human actions, have now been corrected to show that much of the warming occurred before CO2 emissions and concentrations began to rise significantly.

According to NASA’s newly published data:
— The hottest year on record is 1934, not 1998;
— The third hottest year on record was 1921, not 2006;
— Three of the five hottest years on record occurred before 1940; and
— Six of the top 10 hottest years occurred before 90 percent of the growth in greenhouse
gas emissions during the last century occurred.
(Source)

So can we now, officially, wrap up the “global warming” nonsense?

June 18th, 2008 by Scott

ALGORE has done his share of exhaling hot air over the years, blaming us for “global warming.” However, it is not surprising that his own home is guzzling power. In fact, more power than 232 average homes!

Energy Guzzled by Al Gore’s Home in Past Year Could Power 232 U.S. Homes for a Month: Gore’s personal electricity consumption up 10%, despite “energy-efficient” home renovations

NASHVILLE - In the year since Al Gore took steps to make his home more energy-efficient, the former Vice President’s home energy use surged more than 10%, according to the Tennessee Center for Policy Research.

“A man’s commitment to his beliefs is best measured by what he does behind the closed doors of his own home,” said Drew Johnson, President of the Tennessee Center for Policy Research. “Al Gore is a hypocrite and a fraud when it comes to his commitment to the environment, judging by his home energy consumption.”

In the past year, Gore’s home burned through 213,210 kilowatt-hours (kWh) of electricity, enough to power 232 average American households for a month. (Source)

As I’ve said before, this entire flap about “global warming” isn’t about saving the environment. It is about regulating you and me. It is the Al Gore’s out there telling us how to act, while they go and play.

Sad.

May 9th, 2008 by Scott

The “global warming” activists haven’t been very active recently. Sure, Algore is telling everyone the recent cyclone in Burma was because of global warming.

This is unfortunate, because it contradicts all the REAL scientific data. April was actually the coolest April in 11 years and the 29th coldest April in 114 YEARS! And this is according to NOAA:

The average temperature in April 2008 was 51.0 F. This was -1.0 F cooler than the 1901-2000 (20th century) average, the 29th coolest April in 114 years.
(Source: NOAA)

So lets go down the list of Democratic talking points:

Iraq - They said it was broken and the surge wouldn’t work. It did work and this talking point was dropped.

Global Warming - We’ve seen a global COOLING trend. This talking point has gone bye-bye.

The Economy - Democrats are hoping for a Recession so they can blame Bush for wrecking the economy. But unemployment fell to 5% last quarter, the GDP has GROWN (a recession needs two consecutive quarters of negative growth… despite Democratic yelling, it has remained in POSITIVE GROWTH).

One final note about the “global warming” crowd. Here’s the deal. Temperatures go up. Then they go down. The Earth is cyclical. Everything happens in cycles. Tides change every 6 hours, seasons change four times a year.

The temperature will go down for a few years, then it will go up again. Its just nature.

March 14th, 2008 by Scott

Several items in the news recently. Let’s dig right in. First, the numbers are in and this was the coolest winter, worldwide and in the States, since 2001. It was also the 54th coolest winter on record since 1895.

NOAA: Coolest Winter Since 2001 for U.S., Globe - Source: NOAA

Next, the “climate panel” is under scrutiny now that their ‘global warming’ numbers are being called into question. According to the Washington Times:

For example, the researchers who created the hockey stick used the wrong time scale to establish the mean temperature to compare with recorded temperatures of the last century.

Because the mean temperature was low, the recent temperature rise seemed unusual and dramatic. This error was not discovered in part because statisticians were never consulted.

The IPCC … predicting global warming will lead to widespread catastrophe if not mitigated, yet failed to provide the most basic requirement for effective climate policy: accurate temperature statistics.

A number of weaknesses in the measurements include the fact temperatures aren’t recorded from large areas of the Earth’s surface and many weather stations once in undeveloped areas are now surrounded by buildings, parking lots and other heat-trapping structures resulting in an urban-heat-island effect.

Source: Washington Times, March 14, 2008

Why can’t people just accept that the earth’s temperature isn’t a static thing. Temperatures go up. They go down. Everything on this planet swings back and forth like that.

What I want to know is when are the leftist environmentalists going to change their story and start claiming that man-made global warming will bring on a new ice age? You watch, it will swing from global warming to global cooling in the next five years.

February 26th, 2008 by Scott

Hmmm. Early this morning I posted about the cold climate trends we are seeing worldwide. Then I came across this link on The Drudge Report to an article on The Daily Tech. I think the author pretty much hits the nail on the head:

Over the past year, anecdotal evidence for a cooling planet has exploded. China has its coldest winter in 100 years. Baghdad sees its first snow in all recorded history. North America has the most snowcover in 50 years, with places like Wisconsin the highest since record-keeping began. Record levels of Antarctic sea ice, record cold in Minnesota, Texas, Florida, Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greece, South Africa, Greenland, Argentina, Chile — the list goes on and on.

No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA’s GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously.

Meteorologist Anthony Watts compiled the results of all the sources. The total amount of cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C — a value large enough to erase nearly all the global warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year time. For all sources, it’s the single fastest temperature change ever recorded, either up or down.

Scientists quoted in a past DailyTech article link the cooling to reduced solar activity which they claim is a much larger driver of climate change than man-made greenhouse gases. The dramatic cooling seen in just 12 months time seems to bear that out. While the data doesn’t itself disprove that carbon dioxide is acting to warm the planet, it does demonstrate clearly that more powerful factors are now cooling it.

Source: The Daily Tech, Feb 26, 2008

As I said, I think that pretty much wraps it up for this global warming thing.

February 26th, 2008 by Scott

The normal climate change / global warming crowd seems to be pretty quiet these days. I feel sorry for them. After all, they love a good marching protest. And they love to climb on top of planes (source).

However, recently, they must be too busy warming up their hot cocoa because, “baby its cold out there.” According to The National Post and the U.S. National Climatic Data Center, we’ve seen some interesting things this year.

North America, Europe, China and Siberia are seeing record snow cover (breaking records that date back to 1966). January was also 0.3 degrees F cooler than the average of the entire 20th century!

The melting Arctic Ice that was featured so prominently in so many photos on the covers of national magazines? Its back. With a vengance. Yup. According to the article the thickness of arctic ice is 10 to 20 centimeters ABOVE the same time last year.

The article then continues:

Last month, Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, shrugged off manmade climate change as “a drop in the bucket.” Showing that solar activity has entered an inactive phase, Prof. Sorokhtin advised people to “stock up on fur coats.”
He is not alone. Kenneth Tapping of our own National Research Council, who oversees a giant radio telescope focused on the sun, is convinced we are in for a long period of severely cold weather if sunspot activity does not pick up soon.

The last time the sun was this inactive, Earth suffered the Little Ice Age that lasted about five centuries and ended in 1850. Crops failed through killer frosts and drought. Famine, plague and war were widespread. Harbours froze, so did rivers, and trade ceased.The National Post, Feb 25, 2008

Better stock up on that hot cocoa. Oh, and did I mention that I’m looking at buying a Diesel car later this year? And that’s not a joke! *grin*

December 29th, 2007 by Scott

A strange occurrence is underway. Global Warming seems to be taking the winter off. Coincidentally, it did this last winter and again the winter before. Come to think of it, each year about this time, it gets colder.

But we’ve been told that with man-made “Global Warming” that winters will become, well, warmer. Except that this month has a few interesting headlines that contradict that.

December snowfall nears all-time record for city - Dec. 29, 2007 - So far, an estimated 24½ inches of snow has fallen in Oshkosh this December, which is believed to be the fourth most since at least 1948, according to the Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, Ill. The agency reported the record snowfall for December, 25.7 inches, fell in Oshkosh is in 2000.

Oshkosh’s average snowfall in December is about 11 inches and the normal seasonal snowfall during winter in the city is 41.3 inches. The Northwestern, Wisconsin

Northern New England may get as much as a half-foot of snow today as a wave a low pressure and cold air blows in from the U.S. Midwest and Plains. To the north of New York City, however, 3 inches to 6 inches of snow may fall across a swath from the Pocono Mountains to Maine by Dec. 31, AccuWeather said. Boston could break its snowiest December record, set in 1970 when 27.9 inches fell. - Bloomberg.com, Dec 29, 2007

NOAA is even predicting a cooler than average winter for 2008:

A MODERATELY STRONG COLD EVENT (LA NINA) CONTINUES ACROSS THE PACIFIC BASIN. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) ARE BELOW AVERAGE THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN, WITH ANOMALOUSLY COLD SSTS EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST WESTWARD BEYOND THE DATE LINE TO 160E LONGITUDE. SSTS IN THE NINO 3.4 REGION AVERAGED 1.5 DEGREES C BELOW NORMAL DURING NOVEMBER, WHERE A VALUE OF 1.0 TO 1.5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL INDICATES THE EXISTENCE OF MODERATE LA NINA CONDITIONS.

THESE OBSERVATIONS AGREE WITH WHAT MOST DYNAMICAL AND STATISTICAL MODELS HAVE, FOR SOME TIME, BEEN PREDICTING FOR THIS FALL AND WINTER. THE CONSENSUS … INDICATE THAT THE CURRENT SST ANOMALIES OF BETWEEN 1 AND 2 DEGREES C BELOW NORMAL ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH JFM 2008 … AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING FMA AND MAM (SPRING) 2008.

THE TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS FOR JANUARY-FEBRUARY-MARCH (JFM) 2008 REFLECT LA NINA IMPACTS IN COMBINATION WITH RECENT TRENDS. TEMPERATURES FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF STATES TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN ARE EXPECTED TO BE COOLER THAN THE AVERAGE OF RECENT YEARS AND SEASONAL MEANS SHOULD BE MORE IN LINE WITH THOSE EXPECTED IN THE 1971-2000 CLIMATE BASE PERIOD. ELSEWHERE… THE FORECAST CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES (EC) OF ABOVE-, NEAR-, AND BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. - NOAA, Dec 20, 2007 Seasonal Forecast Outlook

Global Cooling

And finally, we cannot forget the fact that the average global temperature has actually be decreasing since during the past nine years (Source: Telegraph.co.uk).

Here’s a quote from a wonderful article explaining, scientifically and historically, what has been occurring on this planet for several eras::

The official thermometers at the U.S. National Climate Data Center show a slight global cooling trend over the last seven years, from 1998 to 2005.

Actually, global warming is likely to continue—but the interruption of the recent strong warming trend sharply undercuts the argument that our global warming is an urgent, man-made emergency. The seven-year decline makes our warming look much more like the moderate, erratic warming to be expected when the planet naturally shifts from a Little Ice Age (1300–1850 AD) to a centuries-long warm phase like the Medieval Warming (950–1300 AD) or the Roman Warming (200 BC– 600 AD).

The stutter in the temperature rise should rein in some of the more apoplectic cries of panic over man-made greenhouse emissions. The strong 28-year upward trend of 1970–1998 has apparently ended.

Speaking of the 1500-year climate cycles, grab an Internet peek at the earth’s official temperatures since 1850. They describe a long, gentle S-curve, with the below-mean temperatures of the Little Ice Age gradually giving way to the above-the-mean temperatures we should expect during a Modern Warming.
(Source: Dennis Avery)

Surprising? The planet has cycles. After all, we see cycles in the moon (30 days), the tides (6 hours), cycles in hurricanes (every 30 years), cycles in cicadas (17 years) and much more.

As I’ve said before, the left-thinking alarmists want to blame us for something that just isn’t true. I’m off to drive my SUV.