Pep Rally Funeral

April 14th, 2008 by Scott

You just can’t make this stuff up. According to several news reports, Obama’s pastor is at it again. The Rev. Wright made a few comments at a funeral that are in lockstep with his previous remarks. Speaking about the pastor who passed on:

[He] was not the jingoistic, chauvinistic ‘you’re either with us or against us’ demonizing kind of faith.

That was just the beginning of what seemed like a pep rally. Brings back memories of the other Democratic funeral/pep rally for the late Minnesota Senator Paul Wellstone, who died in 2002. Remember the applause, the cheering and the inflammatory remarks at that funeral by all the Democrat speakers and attendees?

Deja vu.

“FOX News can’t understand that,” Wright said to rousing cheers and applause.

Here we go again! This week is going to be all about the funeral / pep rally. Add to the mix Hillary’s comments this past weekend about support for shooting guns.

I’m going to have to buy more popcorn. This is turning into a double-feature!

Let’s Change this Change Theme

January 8th, 2008 by Scott

So who else is sick of every candidate calling for “change.” It seems as if the shallow slogans of most of the presidential candidates have now not only become more shallow, but they are all “change.”

For anyone who has been under a rock for the last few weeks, it seems that most every candidate has been campaigning on “change.” Obama was campaigning on change. Then Hillary. Now McCain, Huckabee and many others are saying they are the candidate of change.

Sigh.

This is the problem I had during the last election and the reason the Republicans lost some seats. No one was telling us specifics of what they would do.

Remember back when Sen. Kerry said he was against the war in Iraq (this was after he was for the war he was against)? Kerry kept saying he would fight a “smarter” war. Huh? Give us some specific examples. Tell us exactly where YOU stand. Tell us exactly what YOU plan to do to solve these problems you claim are so common.

Unfortunately, this has become a campaign based entirely on emotion, and real messages and ideas have been lost in the “I’m for change” theme.

I miss the days when candidates would lay out specific ideas and mandates that they want to promote. The days when each candidate would debate the other on their ideas, not on how much money they have raised or how their campaign is negative. Let’s get back on message so we KNOW who we are electing, so we KNOW for what they stand, not just how they make us “feel.”

What would our founding fathers say?

History Favors Republicans for President

December 29th, 2007 by Scott

History favors the Republicans for the 2008 Presidential Elections. Why is that, you ask? Looking back at where all the candidates come from, there is a statistical advantage for the Republicans this election year.

History has favored governors and vice presidents to win the White House. I went back and researched the qualifications and previous “jobs” of all U.S. Presidents since Roosevelt. Take a look at the positions held by our presidents at the time they ran for president:

Presidents who were Governors while running: 5

  • George Bush: Texas (Republican)
  • Bill Clinton: Arkansas (Democratic)
  • Ronald Reagan: California (Republican)
  • Jimmy Carter: Georgia (Democratic)
  • Franklin Roosevelt: New York (Democratic)

    Presidents who were Vice President while running: 5

  • George H.W. Bush (Republican)
  • Gerald Ford (Republican)
  • Richard Nixon (Republican)
  • Lyndon Johnson (Democratic)
  • Harry Truman (Democratic)

    Presidents who were U.S.Senators while running: 1

  • Jack Kennedy (Democratic)

    Presidents who were Army Chief while running: 1

  • Eisenhower (Republican)

    So as you can see, 10 of the past 12 presidents were either a governor or vice president as they ran for the presidency. Only 1 was a senator. Plus, look at how each election panned out (in reverse chronological order):

    2004 - Bush (Gov) v. Kerry (Senator)
    2000 - Bush (Gov) v. Gore (VP)
    1996 - Clinton (Gov) v. Dole (Senator)
    1992 - Clinton (Gov) v. Bush (Pres)
    1988 - Bush (VP) v. Dukakis (Gov)
    1984 - Reagan (Gov) v. Mondale (former VP)
    1980 - Reagan (Gov) v. Carter (Pres)
    1976 - Carter (Gov) v. Ford (VP)
    1972 - Nixon (former VP) v. McGovern (Senator)
    1968 - Johnson (VP) v. Goldwater (Senator)

    That really drives home how each election tends to favor a Governor. Now lets look at the current batch of top candidates.

    Democrats
    Mrs. Bill Clinton (Hillary Clinton), Obama, Edwards, Biden and Dodd are all Senators. The only governor is Bill Richardson, who is polling so low as to be out of the race. So statistically, they’ve got a pretty slim chance, based on past job experience.

    Republicans
    Giuliani’s last job was as Mayor of New York. This could almost swing as Governor due to the responsibilities he had. But I’m going to keep him in the “maybe” column.
    Romney and Huckabee are both governors (Massachusetts and Arkansas, respectively) and both are polling pretty high right now.
    The rest (McCain, Thompson, Paul and Hunter are either Senators or Congressmen).

    So as we move into the final days leading up to the first primaries, we can see that historically, the Republicans will more than likely nominate Romney, Guiliani or Huckabee. The Democrats will more than likely nominate Mrs. Bill Clinton or Obama.

    This would lead to a Democratic senator against a Republican governor. Which, statistically, means the Republicans have a better chance at the White House.

    Why do the numbers work out the way they do? I believe that as a governor, they faced challenges and working situations that were essentially a “mini” federal government. They oversaw a two party House and Senate their respective states. They made the main decisions for the states. There are many other reasons as well.

    Senators, on the other hand, could be seen as the bureaucracy that is our government. They add the earmark, pork spending.

    My bet: Mitt Romney wins Iowa. Then New Hampshire. He wins the nomination and then the White House.

    UPDATE: 8 Jan 08
    The New Hampshire primary has wrapped and Gov. Romney took the “silver” as he called it. This, combined with the Iowa and Wyoming results, give him the most delegates at this point in time.
    Current standing: Gov. Romney at the top with 29 delegates, Gov. Huckabee in second place with 20, Sen. McCain with 9 delegates.

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