Congratulations, Gov. Palin!

August 29th, 2008 by Scott

Presidential nominee, John McCain, has chosen Gov. Sarah Palin to be his running mate. I’ve got to be honest. I, like many, didn’t see this one coming!

However, as I find out more about Gov. Palin, the more I like her. She brings a conservative background to the ticket, which is what McCain needed to do.

Also, she’s a Governor. That’s key, as I’ve mentioned many times. While I was for supporting Gov. Jindal or Gov. Romney, I’m perfectly happy having Gov. Palin on the ticket.

She’s for drilling in ANWR, lowering taxes, cutting government spending (she nixed the ‘bridge to nowhere’), and goes hunting at midnight sometimes! Love it!

Gov. Jindal or Gov. Romney?

July 21st, 2008 by Scott

So is this the week? Bob Novak is reporting today that Sen. McCain will be revealing his choice for running mate sometime this week.

Two names that keep recurring are Gov. Romney and Gov. Jindal. As I reported back in May:

Gov. Jindal looks very promising. He’s the youngest Governor in the country and has been hailed as the next Ronald Reagan! His voting record backs up these claims. He has voted for gun rights, to lower taxes, and most importantly, understands the global war on terror. This is a man we need in the White House.

If he chooses Jindal or Romney, I’ll be VERY happy.

I’ll find out if my thinking is correct later this week if Novak’s right on the timing.

And this comes at a great time. Obama is still trying to figure out a way to say he is against the troop surge that, obviously, worked. He, like Clinton before him, seems to be asking advice from his 300 advisors on what to say, whether or not to wear a flag pin, and so much more.

In a time when we are being spoon-fed the Hollywood-style packaged marketing of Obama(TM), the Brand, having a running mate like Gov. Jindal or Gov. Romney added to the race is a breath of fresh air.

P.S.
And both are Governors, which I love to keep bringing up. For those not familiar with my focus on Governors and the race for the White House, read my post from last year about the 2008 election about why history favors Governors over Senators for President.

Update:
It was just reported (July 23) that Gov. Jindal has taken himself off the short-list for VP choice for McCain. He says he wants to help Louisiana, which is an honorable decision.

It also gives him several years to prepare for 2012 as a running mate or presidential candidate. He’s a great choice to be the next Reagan and I hope he decides to take this challenge in the next election cycle.

Three Cheers!

May 21st, 2008 by Scott

Three cheers. For what? Three candidates on the short list for McCain’s running mate.

I’ve been clear in the past that McCain wasn’t my first choice for the Republican nomination. There are many attributes that I do like about McCain, but I feel there are many others that represent the conservative base much more than he.

I have always maintained that Romney was more closely aligned with the conservative base than McCain.

In fact, I even posted an article back in March about the very real possibility of Romney being selected as the Vice Presidential running mate.

Well, the names are starting to surface and just as I had predicted, Romney’s in the top three. Not only that, but there are some very interesting things about the top three veep candidates.

First, all three are Governors. Gov. Romney (MA), Gov. Crist (FL), and Gov. Jindal (LA). I wrote a lengthy article in December of 2007 about how Governors have an advantage when running for the White House.

While anything can happen, I think this is very telling on how the 2008 general election will turn out in November. Sen. Clinton and Sen. Obama both have history against them against Sen. McCain and GOVERNOR Romney, Jindal or Crist.

I think part of this advantage comes from the fact that a Governor of a state is like a mini-federal government. They preside over a House and Senate of the state. They have state budgets they work with. They have State Departments, Departments of Commerce, Transportation, etc. and are in control of the state militia, the National Guard.

Compare this to a Senator, like Obama and Clinton. They are just one of 100 of a group. They are part of the “problem” of Washington, not the solution. That’s why even though the President has an all-time low approval rating, Congress’ approval rating is even LOWER!

Back to the top three names. I’ll skip Romney for now, since I’ve discussed him in depth before.

Gov. Jindal looks very promising. He’s the youngest Governor in the country and has been hailed as the next Ronald Reagan! His voting record backs up these claims. He has voted for gun rights, to lower taxes, and most importantly, understands the global war on terror. This is a man we need in the White House.

Gov. Crist is right up there as well. He’s a hardliner when it comes to law and order: he’s for the death penalty, and was called “Chain Gang Charlie” because he favored using convicts to be used for roadside labor.

There is much more to both of these Governors. Of these two new names, I personally favor Jindal. He’s likable, young, VERY conservative, and brings some energy and enthusiasm to the table.

If McCain chooses any of these three, I’ll be happy. If he chooses Jindal or Romney, I’ll be VERY happy. Because, in all likelyhood, this Governor turned Veep will run for President in 2012. Its just a hunch, but I just don’t see McCain running for two terms, due to his age.

And… as I’ve said before, my Governor v. Senator race will mean so much more. Can’t wait!

History Favors Republicans for President

December 29th, 2007 by Scott

History favors the Republicans for the 2008 Presidential Elections. Why is that, you ask? Looking back at where all the candidates come from, there is a statistical advantage for the Republicans this election year.

History has favored governors and vice presidents to win the White House. I went back and researched the qualifications and previous “jobs” of all U.S. Presidents since Roosevelt. Take a look at the positions held by our presidents at the time they ran for president:

Presidents who were Governors while running: 5

  • George Bush: Texas (Republican)
  • Bill Clinton: Arkansas (Democratic)
  • Ronald Reagan: California (Republican)
  • Jimmy Carter: Georgia (Democratic)
  • Franklin Roosevelt: New York (Democratic)

    Presidents who were Vice President while running: 5

  • George H.W. Bush (Republican)
  • Gerald Ford (Republican)
  • Richard Nixon (Republican)
  • Lyndon Johnson (Democratic)
  • Harry Truman (Democratic)

    Presidents who were U.S.Senators while running: 1

  • Jack Kennedy (Democratic)

    Presidents who were Army Chief while running: 1

  • Eisenhower (Republican)

    So as you can see, 10 of the past 12 presidents were either a governor or vice president as they ran for the presidency. Only 1 was a senator. Plus, look at how each election panned out (in reverse chronological order):

    2004 - Bush (Gov) v. Kerry (Senator)
    2000 - Bush (Gov) v. Gore (VP)
    1996 - Clinton (Gov) v. Dole (Senator)
    1992 - Clinton (Gov) v. Bush (Pres)
    1988 - Bush (VP) v. Dukakis (Gov)
    1984 - Reagan (Gov) v. Mondale (former VP)
    1980 - Reagan (Gov) v. Carter (Pres)
    1976 - Carter (Gov) v. Ford (VP)
    1972 - Nixon (former VP) v. McGovern (Senator)
    1968 - Johnson (VP) v. Goldwater (Senator)

    That really drives home how each election tends to favor a Governor. Now lets look at the current batch of top candidates.

    Democrats
    Mrs. Bill Clinton (Hillary Clinton), Obama, Edwards, Biden and Dodd are all Senators. The only governor is Bill Richardson, who is polling so low as to be out of the race. So statistically, they’ve got a pretty slim chance, based on past job experience.

    Republicans
    Giuliani’s last job was as Mayor of New York. This could almost swing as Governor due to the responsibilities he had. But I’m going to keep him in the “maybe” column.
    Romney and Huckabee are both governors (Massachusetts and Arkansas, respectively) and both are polling pretty high right now.
    The rest (McCain, Thompson, Paul and Hunter are either Senators or Congressmen).

    So as we move into the final days leading up to the first primaries, we can see that historically, the Republicans will more than likely nominate Romney, Guiliani or Huckabee. The Democrats will more than likely nominate Mrs. Bill Clinton or Obama.

    This would lead to a Democratic senator against a Republican governor. Which, statistically, means the Republicans have a better chance at the White House.

    Why do the numbers work out the way they do? I believe that as a governor, they faced challenges and working situations that were essentially a “mini” federal government. They oversaw a two party House and Senate their respective states. They made the main decisions for the states. There are many other reasons as well.

    Senators, on the other hand, could be seen as the bureaucracy that is our government. They add the earmark, pork spending.

    My bet: Mitt Romney wins Iowa. Then New Hampshire. He wins the nomination and then the White House.

    UPDATE: 8 Jan 08
    The New Hampshire primary has wrapped and Gov. Romney took the “silver” as he called it. This, combined with the Iowa and Wyoming results, give him the most delegates at this point in time.
    Current standing: Gov. Romney at the top with 29 delegates, Gov. Huckabee in second place with 20, Sen. McCain with 9 delegates.