Scott R. Sullivan

November 20th, 2008 by Scott

Well it snowed again this week. Does this count as “climate change”? As I mentioned before, I was going to try and get some pictures up of the snow, so here’s a quick photo from out our front window of the second snowfall of the week and the winter.

The lake is off to the right of the house in the picture, obscured by the snow! Love the winter. Glad I’ve got four wheel drive!

November 5th, 2008 by Scott

Well gang, another report out that this has been a RECORD year for hurricane INACTIVITY. This year has seen the lowest activity in 30 years!

(Source)

It is still amazing to this day that people still believe in the environmentalists. The stats don’t lie. There is no man-made global warming. The only warming trend was a short one caused by the sun activity. Since the solar activity has subsided, the planet’s temperature has been cooling ever since.

And as a result, water temperatures cool, reducing hurricane activity.

October 15th, 2008 by Scott

The silence from the global warming crowd has been, well, predictable. Allow me to fill the void:

Story 1 from Alaska: Glaciers are growing again

Two hundred years of glacial shrinkage in Alaska, and then came the winter and summer of 2007-2008.
Unusually large amounts of winter snow were followed by unusually chill temperatures in June, July and August.
“In mid-June, I was surprised to see snow still at sea level in Prince William Sound,” said U.S. Geological Survey glaciologist Bruce Molnia. “On the Juneau Icefield, there was still 20 feet of new snow on the surface of the Taku Glacier in late July. At Bering Glacier, a landslide I am studying, located at about 1,500 feet elevation, did not become snow free until early August.
“It’s been a long time on most glaciers where they’ve actually had positive mass balance,” Molnia said.
That’s the way a scientist says the glaciers got thicker in the middle. (Source)

Story 2 from Oregon: 118 Record Low Temps

Cold temperatures set several new record lows this weekend, including a low of 22 Saturday in downtown Pendleton (Oregon) that broke a 118 year-old record of 24. (Source)

Story 3 from California: More Record Cold

Temperatures dropped to 31 degrees in the Ukiah Valley on Saturday night and early Sunday morning, the coldest Oct. 12 morning since record keeping began in Ukiah in 1893, said Troy Nicolini, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Eureka. The previous record was 34 degrees in 1916.(Source)

As I’ve said before, we’re actually going cooler, not wamer, in recent history. After all, temps have actually been steady and/or falling for the past ten years, not rising like they make us think.

I just don’t understand why the global warming crowd won’t just admit that the temperature of the earth is affected by the sun cycles, not by us gas guzzlers. Sigh. Even in the face of pure scientific fact, they will refuse to accept what is obvious truth.

May 9th, 2008 by Scott

The “global warming” activists haven’t been very active recently. Sure, Algore is telling everyone the recent cyclone in Burma was because of global warming.

This is unfortunate, because it contradicts all the REAL scientific data. April was actually the coolest April in 11 years and the 29th coldest April in 114 YEARS! And this is according to NOAA:

The average temperature in April 2008 was 51.0 F. This was -1.0 F cooler than the 1901-2000 (20th century) average, the 29th coolest April in 114 years.
(Source: NOAA)

So lets go down the list of Democratic talking points:

Iraq - They said it was broken and the surge wouldn’t work. It did work and this talking point was dropped.

Global Warming - We’ve seen a global COOLING trend. This talking point has gone bye-bye.

The Economy - Democrats are hoping for a Recession so they can blame Bush for wrecking the economy. But unemployment fell to 5% last quarter, the GDP has GROWN (a recession needs two consecutive quarters of negative growth… despite Democratic yelling, it has remained in POSITIVE GROWTH).

One final note about the “global warming” crowd. Here’s the deal. Temperatures go up. Then they go down. The Earth is cyclical. Everything happens in cycles. Tides change every 6 hours, seasons change four times a year.

The temperature will go down for a few years, then it will go up again. Its just nature.

April 14th, 2008 by Scott

So, John McCain says he believes we are in a recession. I’ve now hear this from several people. I’m sad he’s joined the bandwagon.

Nevermind that a recession is defined by two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth. Nevermind that the last quarter had positive growth. Nevermind definitions.

As is the trend with the left (and now, McCain), whatever they “feel” at the moment becomes truth. It doesn’t matter that we are not, technically, in a recession. It ‘feels’ like we are so, we are.

This is similar to the charges made against many Republicans a few years ago by the Dems. There was NO evidence to back up their false charges, but their repeated quotes were, “It’s the SERIOUSNESS of the charge that matters.”

So facts don’t really matter to the left, as you can see. It is the SERIOUSNESS of the charge. So by saying we are in a recession (though we are not), people start thinking we ARE in one.

Mark my words… this trend of making charges while ignoring facts is going to creep into the “global warming” ecosystem.

It has been proven that there has been NO rise in global temperature for almost a decade. BUT… we will begin to hear, “It’s the SERIOUSNESS of the possibility of global warming.”

We won’t need PROOF. We just need to CLAIM it. Mark my words.

March 14th, 2008 by Scott

The debate on “global warming” is, dare I say, warming up? Many prominent climatologists have stated that claims of “man made global warming” are overblown.

Today, according to Fox News:

John Coleman, who founded the [Weather Channel] in 1982, suggests suing for fraud proponents of global warming, including Al Gore, and companies that sell carbon credits.

“Is he committing financial fraud? That is the question,” Coleman said.

“As you look at the atmosphere over the last 25 years, there’s been perhaps a degree of warming, perhaps probably a whole lot less than that, and the last year has been so cold that that’s been erased,” he said.

“I think if we continue the cooling trend a couple of more years, the general public will at last begin to realize that they’ve been scammed on this global-warming thing.”

Source: Fox News, March 14, 2008

As I have been saying for years, the concept of man made global warming is overblown. The environmentalists will use brand marketing to their advantage by choosing the hottest summer days to have their “global warming” rallies.

Have you noticed how quiet they’ve been during this past winter now that it was the coldest since 2001?

Many have equated the “global warming” crowd with a modern cult. You’ve got your “god figure,” Al Gore. You’ve got your disciples who blindly follow their cult leader without question. You’ve got large scale donations in the form of “carbon credits.”

And that last element is they key. Follow the money. The concept of carbon credits is that you can purchase these credits from “carbon credit organizations” that will sell them to you. In exchange, you can emit more pollution to the environment.

Many environmentalist ideas sound good at first thought, but are based on false assumptions.

Take forests, for example. For years, environmentalists argued that we should leave forest undergrowth alone as that is the way “nature” wanted it. Those with science on their side argued this was wrong.

What happened? There were MORE, not less, forest fires. The thin, dead wood, that underbrush is comprised, ignited and fueled more and more forest fires, destroying many more forests. AND FOREST FIRES RELEASE EVIL CARBON DIOXIDE INTO THE ATMOSPHERE!!

Had the underbrush been cleared, as it is in many areas, there are less forest fires. But we shouldn’t let facts get in the way of good science, should we?

I hope this does go to trial. I hope we have a congressional hearing on the matter that occupies the entire summer in the way the Iran-Contra hearings and major league baseball hearings.

In this way, we can finally watch the environmentalists flail as their strawman collapses.

My question is this: will Al Gore have his Nobel prize revoked for promoting bad science and costing countries and economies trillions of dollars?

March 14th, 2008 by Scott

Several items in the news recently. Let’s dig right in. First, the numbers are in and this was the coolest winter, worldwide and in the States, since 2001. It was also the 54th coolest winter on record since 1895.

NOAA: Coolest Winter Since 2001 for U.S., Globe - Source: NOAA

Next, the “climate panel” is under scrutiny now that their ‘global warming’ numbers are being called into question. According to the Washington Times:

For example, the researchers who created the hockey stick used the wrong time scale to establish the mean temperature to compare with recorded temperatures of the last century.

Because the mean temperature was low, the recent temperature rise seemed unusual and dramatic. This error was not discovered in part because statisticians were never consulted.

The IPCC … predicting global warming will lead to widespread catastrophe if not mitigated, yet failed to provide the most basic requirement for effective climate policy: accurate temperature statistics.

A number of weaknesses in the measurements include the fact temperatures aren’t recorded from large areas of the Earth’s surface and many weather stations once in undeveloped areas are now surrounded by buildings, parking lots and other heat-trapping structures resulting in an urban-heat-island effect.

Source: Washington Times, March 14, 2008

Why can’t people just accept that the earth’s temperature isn’t a static thing. Temperatures go up. They go down. Everything on this planet swings back and forth like that.

What I want to know is when are the leftist environmentalists going to change their story and start claiming that man-made global warming will bring on a new ice age? You watch, it will swing from global warming to global cooling in the next five years.

February 26th, 2008 by Scott

Hmmm. Early this morning I posted about the cold climate trends we are seeing worldwide. Then I came across this link on The Drudge Report to an article on The Daily Tech. I think the author pretty much hits the nail on the head:

Over the past year, anecdotal evidence for a cooling planet has exploded. China has its coldest winter in 100 years. Baghdad sees its first snow in all recorded history. North America has the most snowcover in 50 years, with places like Wisconsin the highest since record-keeping began. Record levels of Antarctic sea ice, record cold in Minnesota, Texas, Florida, Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greece, South Africa, Greenland, Argentina, Chile — the list goes on and on.

No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA’s GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously.

Meteorologist Anthony Watts compiled the results of all the sources. The total amount of cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C — a value large enough to erase nearly all the global warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year time. For all sources, it’s the single fastest temperature change ever recorded, either up or down.

Scientists quoted in a past DailyTech article link the cooling to reduced solar activity which they claim is a much larger driver of climate change than man-made greenhouse gases. The dramatic cooling seen in just 12 months time seems to bear that out. While the data doesn’t itself disprove that carbon dioxide is acting to warm the planet, it does demonstrate clearly that more powerful factors are now cooling it.

Source: The Daily Tech, Feb 26, 2008

As I said, I think that pretty much wraps it up for this global warming thing.

February 26th, 2008 by Scott

The normal climate change / global warming crowd seems to be pretty quiet these days. I feel sorry for them. After all, they love a good marching protest. And they love to climb on top of planes (source).

However, recently, they must be too busy warming up their hot cocoa because, “baby its cold out there.” According to The National Post and the U.S. National Climatic Data Center, we’ve seen some interesting things this year.

North America, Europe, China and Siberia are seeing record snow cover (breaking records that date back to 1966). January was also 0.3 degrees F cooler than the average of the entire 20th century!

The melting Arctic Ice that was featured so prominently in so many photos on the covers of national magazines? Its back. With a vengance. Yup. According to the article the thickness of arctic ice is 10 to 20 centimeters ABOVE the same time last year.

The article then continues:

Last month, Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, shrugged off manmade climate change as “a drop in the bucket.” Showing that solar activity has entered an inactive phase, Prof. Sorokhtin advised people to “stock up on fur coats.”
He is not alone. Kenneth Tapping of our own National Research Council, who oversees a giant radio telescope focused on the sun, is convinced we are in for a long period of severely cold weather if sunspot activity does not pick up soon.

The last time the sun was this inactive, Earth suffered the Little Ice Age that lasted about five centuries and ended in 1850. Crops failed through killer frosts and drought. Famine, plague and war were widespread. Harbours froze, so did rivers, and trade ceased.The National Post, Feb 25, 2008

Better stock up on that hot cocoa. Oh, and did I mention that I’m looking at buying a Diesel car later this year? And that’s not a joke! *grin*

December 29th, 2007 by Scott

A strange occurrence is underway. Global Warming seems to be taking the winter off. Coincidentally, it did this last winter and again the winter before. Come to think of it, each year about this time, it gets colder.

But we’ve been told that with man-made “Global Warming” that winters will become, well, warmer. Except that this month has a few interesting headlines that contradict that.

December snowfall nears all-time record for city - Dec. 29, 2007 - So far, an estimated 24½ inches of snow has fallen in Oshkosh this December, which is believed to be the fourth most since at least 1948, according to the Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, Ill. The agency reported the record snowfall for December, 25.7 inches, fell in Oshkosh is in 2000.

Oshkosh’s average snowfall in December is about 11 inches and the normal seasonal snowfall during winter in the city is 41.3 inches. The Northwestern, Wisconsin

Northern New England may get as much as a half-foot of snow today as a wave a low pressure and cold air blows in from the U.S. Midwest and Plains. To the north of New York City, however, 3 inches to 6 inches of snow may fall across a swath from the Pocono Mountains to Maine by Dec. 31, AccuWeather said. Boston could break its snowiest December record, set in 1970 when 27.9 inches fell. - Bloomberg.com, Dec 29, 2007

NOAA is even predicting a cooler than average winter for 2008:

A MODERATELY STRONG COLD EVENT (LA NINA) CONTINUES ACROSS THE PACIFIC BASIN. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) ARE BELOW AVERAGE THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN, WITH ANOMALOUSLY COLD SSTS EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST WESTWARD BEYOND THE DATE LINE TO 160E LONGITUDE. SSTS IN THE NINO 3.4 REGION AVERAGED 1.5 DEGREES C BELOW NORMAL DURING NOVEMBER, WHERE A VALUE OF 1.0 TO 1.5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL INDICATES THE EXISTENCE OF MODERATE LA NINA CONDITIONS.

THESE OBSERVATIONS AGREE WITH WHAT MOST DYNAMICAL AND STATISTICAL MODELS HAVE, FOR SOME TIME, BEEN PREDICTING FOR THIS FALL AND WINTER. THE CONSENSUS … INDICATE THAT THE CURRENT SST ANOMALIES OF BETWEEN 1 AND 2 DEGREES C BELOW NORMAL ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH JFM 2008 … AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING FMA AND MAM (SPRING) 2008.

THE TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS FOR JANUARY-FEBRUARY-MARCH (JFM) 2008 REFLECT LA NINA IMPACTS IN COMBINATION WITH RECENT TRENDS. TEMPERATURES FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF STATES TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN ARE EXPECTED TO BE COOLER THAN THE AVERAGE OF RECENT YEARS AND SEASONAL MEANS SHOULD BE MORE IN LINE WITH THOSE EXPECTED IN THE 1971-2000 CLIMATE BASE PERIOD. ELSEWHERE… THE FORECAST CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES (EC) OF ABOVE-, NEAR-, AND BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. - NOAA, Dec 20, 2007 Seasonal Forecast Outlook

Global Cooling

And finally, we cannot forget the fact that the average global temperature has actually be decreasing since during the past nine years (Source: Telegraph.co.uk).

Here’s a quote from a wonderful article explaining, scientifically and historically, what has been occurring on this planet for several eras::

The official thermometers at the U.S. National Climate Data Center show a slight global cooling trend over the last seven years, from 1998 to 2005.

Actually, global warming is likely to continue—but the interruption of the recent strong warming trend sharply undercuts the argument that our global warming is an urgent, man-made emergency. The seven-year decline makes our warming look much more like the moderate, erratic warming to be expected when the planet naturally shifts from a Little Ice Age (1300–1850 AD) to a centuries-long warm phase like the Medieval Warming (950–1300 AD) or the Roman Warming (200 BC– 600 AD).

The stutter in the temperature rise should rein in some of the more apoplectic cries of panic over man-made greenhouse emissions. The strong 28-year upward trend of 1970–1998 has apparently ended.

Speaking of the 1500-year climate cycles, grab an Internet peek at the earth’s official temperatures since 1850. They describe a long, gentle S-curve, with the below-mean temperatures of the Little Ice Age gradually giving way to the above-the-mean temperatures we should expect during a Modern Warming.
(Source: Dennis Avery)

Surprising? The planet has cycles. After all, we see cycles in the moon (30 days), the tides (6 hours), cycles in hurricanes (every 30 years), cycles in cicadas (17 years) and much more.

As I’ve said before, the left-thinking alarmists want to blame us for something that just isn’t true. I’m off to drive my SUV.